Your accuracy score is the core of your identity on Called It. This page explains exactly how it is calculated — the full formula, no black boxes. If you're building a forecasting track record here, you deserve to know precisely what you're building.
Only resolved predictions count towards your score. A prediction you posted but never resolved is excluded — it neither helps nor hurts your accuracy until you mark it as correct or missed. Your score only updates when a deadline has passed and you've resolved the outcome.
Voting on other people's predictions does not affect your accuracy score. Your score is based entirely on predictions you personally made and resolved.
Your tier is determined by your accuracy score and how many predictions you've resolved. Higher-tier users' votes carry more weight in the sentiment bar on prediction cards. Vote weighting by tier is in development and will launch alongside community verification. Currently all votes carry equal weight.
Currently, you resolve your own predictions. When the deadline passes, you decide whether your call was correct or missed. We want to be fully transparent about what this means for the integrity of accuracy scores right now.
Self-resolution works on trust. It is imperfect. You could in theory mark missed calls as correct — but your predictions are permanently public and visible to everyone. Anyone who disputes your resolution can flag it, and community members can publicly comment on whether they agree with your resolution call.
Within communities, you have a separate accuracy score based only on predictions you've made and resolved inside that community. A user can be a Prophet in their cricket club community while still a Rookie globally — because community predictions are often more specific and harder to get right. Community leaderboards rank members by their community-specific accuracy, not their global score.